The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. 43. 25 so an edge of 25% divided by 1. Racerate. Punters see staking plans as a panacea for poor systems. Thus, you can have 20 consecutive losers before wiping out the bank. While it might look a bit funny to call our Plan of the Month “Plan for the Year”, it doesn’t hurt to remind yourself every now and again of some of the fundamental aspects of racing. (In past times it was used to support 1st and 2nd forecast favourites in 3 mile handicap chases at the Principal National Hunt meeting of the day. The actual bet is calculated like this: Horse X = $16 x 0. Betting in level stakes, the profit works out at 2. Pick your three best horses in each of the races (or take the pre-post favourites). Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. Determine your unit stake: your expected strike rate is 50% so you decide to bet 2% of your bankroll on each selection,. I think he was right. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. Th. Staking Plans. Your bank is $20. 85%. Then we can select “Percentage” from the list of staking plans and adjust the percent we will bet each time. Staking has been covered many times in P. Let's say you had 8 bets at $3 each ($24). Killer staking plan that reduces losses to a maximum of 2. In our opinion, the answer is “no,” but let’s examine a hypothetical scenario for building a 1. Work out the approximate odds of each double. Strategies can also be exported and later imported if needed, this allows you to share your betting strategies with other users. This bet will payout on first, second and third. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. Well, work it out. Before looking into progression betting and betting to prices, I will look at some more general staking concepts and explain the. This methodology theoretically protects your betting bank from staking large amounts on horses that are less likely. When your stake is 3 units eachway or higher, drop back one full point after a winner. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Specific place markets are only available on the day of the race. Last month's article gave examples of how this approach can be effectively used with sensible selections. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. . The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. The second-favourite must. 6 shots should win about 22% of the time. The bets, to return $50, using the form of the Dutching approach, would be: Theseo $23 and Viewed $10, a total of $33. There are bigger returns to be gained, of course. That is, 1/100th (a hundredth). Staking Plans for Betting – An Overview of the Frequently Used Methods. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 5-2 Bet 5 NIL. After months of arduous testing TBM was released in 2020 for public use. A good, solid staking plan - and there are many of them - can at least put you on the right track. Very nice indeed! The strike-rate has been 56%, i. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. 40. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. In a continuing series, we are publishing. One of the most common types is the bank percentage plan which involves staking a percentage of your betting bank. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. Horse B = 25 / 73. As the bank grows, so does the stake. You can then trade out of your position for a profit before the favourite makes a comeback. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. A 9/1 (10. The idea is to stop at a winner after race four and the idea is to win 1% of. This limits liability to £24 ,which as a proportion of £1000, is very small indeed. The longest losing run on the day was three bets. com has evolved into an informational, "encyclopedic" resource for lovers of horse racing. If the horse to be backed is quoted from 5/2 to 7/2 you divide losses by two to ascertain your bet size. Simple Staking Plans In simple terms, this is a method of maximising your. Continue until either you reach your maximum bet size, or. Using "The Sportsman" pre post market as my guide over the five main metropolitan meetings there were 16 pre post favourites quoted at $3. With this method, your bet should be your edge divided by the odds. I usually examination strategies by focussing on environment for my 5 favorite staking plans: Whitaker Staking, Secure Marking, Share Stakings, Targeting Winner Staking or. (b) A 3-horse box trifecta each race, total $12. 00 to win a paltry £1. Two favourites at $2. Assigning unit stakes to bets can be useful as it makes the punter more disciplined and less likely to over bet an event. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . That means relatively small returns compared to your stake, but with an increases chance of actually winning the bet. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -6. TheSpecial Factor. Even the "anti" Martingale is a staking plan. Over the years I have received hundreds of letters from P. If you were betting to return say $100 per winner, you would have had $40 on the $2. Track Secrets (Part 3)The price is 6/4 Favourite. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. Inefficient staking plans – These staking plans did not improve on level stakes in terms of profit, and so are not considered. It provides stake recommendations and calculates your hypothetical profit had you strictly followed each of the four staking plans: level stakes, percentage stakes, square root stakes and the Kelly Criterion. Work out the approximate odds of each double. You also know that if this horse loses you will need to stake another £47 on the next bet, a total of over £160 and you only started off betting £1. 00) to place. So, using the progression turned a five per cent loss into an astronomical profit (250 per cent on turnover, and a total of 12,584,751 units profit). For example, betting 0. Bet $7 on the 2/1 chance, and $4 on the 9/2 chance. The best way to understand the lay 1-4 staking plan is by working through an example. 2 which seems amazingly good value. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. Section A A1. Considering the same profit target the punter will bet $10 on a horse showing odds of $11 to win his $100. Many blockchains use. If it loses, your bankroll will now be at £475, meaning bet two will be for £23. Return if a winner, $7. 2 1. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. Register now for FREE. 00) or 10/1 (11. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. For the purposes of an example, I have used a starting bank of 200 units. There are hundreds of different staking strategies and approaches, but ultimately the aim is to find a staking strategy that:. You can make a nice killing when the favs score at, say, 3/1 or 7/2. 5, and that is your investment, $2. Races qualifying: 4260. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. Bets with odds of between 1. com. Using a staking plan even for your zero risk betting strategy has the role of optimizing your possible winnings and reducing the effects of mistakes and losses. The minimum acceptable price for ANY favourite is $2. Our sister software – The Bet Machine – TBM was released in 2020. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. The recommended staking steps for a series are: 1-1-1-1-2-2-3-4-5-6. As one example of what can happen, let's assume that the favourites win races 4, 5, 6 and 7. 57 x 20 = 5. With this staking plan, you know what your largest stake is going to be before you start. 4% of bank - backer’s stake £12 (my liability £78 - £132)”. , 1. This plan is recommended for those punters who are. 50 on each race. 4%. 75. Plan #2 – Progressive staking – 1% of bank on each selection every day. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. 1 day ago · Credit: Chris Sergeant. You back two horses 'proportionally' (Alan. Here is what the formula looks like: f* = (bp – q)/b. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. Choose multiple favourites automatically ie. You can start before March 6 if you like of course, but it is the first. Each series total outlay is 102 units. 40 for a profit of $16. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. In running order according to the times of the races, the order of bets went like this: Lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, lost, WON 9/4, WON 7/4, lost, lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, WON 2 / 1. Staking plan Staking plans ensure healthy returns despite short odds on offer. It’s also worth noting that some people trade the percentage stakes for level monetary stakes. Garethp1981 has written a blog about this staking plan, he asks Does Kelly Have The Answer. 05 * $100 = $5. If you could average about 8 doubles from your 13 doubles each time, at 11 /8, you would be staking. Considering the same profit target the punter will bet $10 on a horse showing odds of $11 to win his $100. Two-thirds of the year, most of the time, we all. Staking Plan Calculator and Betting Tracker v1. Use your form reading skills to decide if a candidate is a strong favourite or not. The fixed staking plans also cut across 15, 30, 60, and 90 days. Most stick to the tried-and-proven 6-Point Divisor Plan, about which I wrote a major article in P. The tried and proven 6-Point Divisor Plan is still regarded as one of the best for those punters who draw up sensible selections. You bet as follows: (a) Three quinellas each race at $4 each, total $24. These are the results with level stakes, but the right staking plan can get even more out of it. Favourites; Staking Plans; Dealing with Dollars; No data found DEALING WITH DOLLARS By Statsman Why is it that punters who back favourites continue to take a pretty hefty beating at the races? It's worth really taking a close look at favourites, and betting on them. Load more library articles Popular; You may like; Recent; 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. Two favourites at $2. Also consider level staking and to reduce losing runs put small amounts on a couple of dangers if you really need to. FAVOURITE IN A THIRTEEN HORSE FIELD. 1991-2009. For example if the profit target is $100 and a runner is at $6 the punter will bet $20. However, there is a 50% chance of your hitting a losing sequence of 12 and a 25% chance of a run of 14 losers. Now on to the money question. Horse Racing Systems. Every Back/Lay Staking Plan in TSM is available to use in The Bet Machine. I think the Jackform staking plan for favourites would work okay with football as the odds are low B BecomeRichasap Good luck and stay well . Th. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. Staking Plans; Favourites; No data found Favourites 2 Favourites. One point on each, both lost, leaving 1 loser in each group. Starters qualifying: 6414. , 1. It is usually hoped that the eventual winner will return enough to pay off the losses to date and still yield a profit. The first time, the level stake return was only 95 units. In running order according to the times of the races, the order of bets went like this: Lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, lost, WON 9/4, WON 7/4, lost, lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, WON 2 / 1. TAGS > odds on, odds on staking plan, short odds, short odds betting, short odds staking plan. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. This approach can often be referred to, disparagingly, as. Each Saturday would introduce a new family into our network. Bet Five and Bet Six are two units ($2). However, as the lay odds are above evens (2. He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and. Track Secrets (Part 3)In fact nearly 10%. 1. In his book Commonsense Betting, which is arguably the finest book written on the betting and the mathematics of horse-racing, US author Dick Mitchell wrote about various staking plans. As one example of what can happen, let's assume that the favourites win races 4, 5, 6 and 7. The most amazing thing about many systems and staking plans is probably that they are usually so very simple. Staking plans are used by professional bettors as an effective way to manage their bankroll and ensure they remain level-headed when. P. Most of the other recommended staking plans are more complicated to use than either Secure or Whitaker Staking. 44. Pick out one city on which to operate. Finally, one of my own favourites is put to the test, a variation of the well known long standing target staking, which I have named the Small Target Plan. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. (b) A 3-horse box trifecta each race, total $12. Place Strike rate per race: 65. That’s it. A plan that rocked the nation nearly two years ago was The Dark Horse, yet its heart was so simple that when purchasers started to read what was in front of them they could hardly contain their glee. Therefore the stakes are adjusted accordingly. The March 6 family would be the original ancestors for this staking plan. It supports the configuration of several features such as: Lay to liability , amount to win, staking plans, and loss pot recovery. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . . 32 staking plans declared, analyses and ranked. In handicaps of 8+ runners, divide the outright win odds by four. For an extensive coverage of First 4. However, under the selection rules with the poll, the average odds should be close to 3/1, or better than 3/1, although if a bettor were using the staking plan on his own selections he would, no doubt, occasionally come up with short-priced choices. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. Deposit: $10 Titanbet Review. Below is a small selection of the dozens of First 4 articles we have, covering First 4 systems, First 4 staking approaches and more. However, with the 10K system, stakes gradually diminish as each week goes by whilst the odds of horses backed increase! In this way we overcome the fundamental deficiencies of the usual type of staking system. This is a perfect staking plan for favourite backers. A2. 00) to win is 3/1 (4. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. The staking plan works like this: On Monday and Tuesday of each betting week, you look to back a 2/1 shot. 40. As opposed to you just guessing that you’ll bet $20 on the Jets game. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. Once you have a great system, use ratcheted staking. 00 TAB) or less. The most profitable staking plan was the Kelly Staking Plan. Critics have lambasted divisor betting because they say you can end up chasing your tail and betting huge amounts of. For the average punter investing up to $20-$30 per bet, this section makes interesting reading. 4. e. NetBet Up to $50 Min. A winning 2-1 bet would raise the. WITH KELLY. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. 0= 1. But by splitting the $50 into 10 flows, you increase your boldness. 00) favorite for the Golden Slipper, according to the latest betting market from Betstar. The best staking plan in the world will not work unless the punter can. By Alan. Even if you can't find 4-1 each-way, 7-2 each-way is still theoretically a fair bet: $14 straight-out would win $70 at 5-1 * $20 each-way at 7-2 gives you a profit of $70 for the win, and $17. 50 or 77 per cent. The plan I am putting forward is one where you wish to make a profit of two or more units with a winner at 2/1 or 4/1 or 10/1. If your bank is $1,000 then your betting unit will be $10. Well it really is quite simple and soundly based. Take bet 10 above and you can see that a stake of £35 is required to win just £15 and you have already laid out over £85. The best possible staking plan using only low odds 👌; Step-by-step instructions on how to build the best staking plan for low odds 👣; Is it worthwhile to invest in a low-risk strategy? ⚠️; Top tips & tricks before creating the best staking plan for low odds ; The benefits and drawbacks of a low-odds stake plan 📊 Granted you would still have lost backing all favourites during the season just gone but the loss would be a more manageable -7. M. Level Staking . The three staking plans chosen were (1) Level Stakes, (2) The Kelly 5 Per Cent of Bank, and (3) The Key Progression. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. Percentage of Bankroll for Favourites: When laying favourites or horses at lower odds, using a percentage of your bankroll might optimise returns while ensuring risks are manageable. If we take a hypothetical place treble of three favourites each paying, say, $1. Well, I have been playing around with a staking plan and today it suddenly looked back at me from the computer screen and said, "My name is Happy Families". After a placed horse, repeat the previous bet. 1 of 1%, your divisor here would be 1000 not 333 which we use for one third of one percent or 250 if you wanted to chase one quarter of one percent. One well worn strategy is to look for horses that habitually get beaten as short priced favourites. Load more library articles Popular; You may like; Recent; 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. One point on each, both lost, leaving 1 loser in each group. For the place, you require a bet of $95 for a $665 return. Extensive details about horse racing tracks – Track information, results, jockey stats and trainer stats and track news from your trusted source - Practical PuntingA further extension of this idea would be to chase winning doubles with the favourites in each race. Favourites; Staking Plans; No data found Staking Plans 3 Staking Plans. Pick out one city on which to operate. 20 and 1. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. Same Track Last Start Statistics. Always keep in mind that you must choose sensible selections, with the chance of a decent win strike rate, if you are to expect any staking plan to help you. Races won: 1763. The two plans I have come up with are suitable for win and place betting. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. It backs away teams that are not strong favourites but have a decent long term away record against a. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. You only go forward when you win - and you follow the above progression list to determine how far forward you go. Let's say you had 8 bets at $3 each ($24). Try sticking to favourites in fields of 10 or fewer, and ditch that staking plan. The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. And they aren't much fun either! So why not put $25 on each of two, using a steady selection plan ALL YEAR to support you? The plan could be (for example) the first two-year-old prepost favourite on Friday morning, and the favourite in whichever race has the fewest number of runners. at 2/1 ON the place!), would give you $57 for just that final 20 per cent, together with the earlier returns of $38, $25, $17 and $11, a total of around $150 or 5/1. Saturday Insiders. At the same meeting in the Coolmore Classic, the equal favourites were Typhoon Tracy and Gallant Tess. 5 units represents a maximum confidence bet and therefore your maximum stake ($50), while 0. . You should now be able to understand why Barry put so much work into The Retirement Staking Plan. The good and bad days are yours to decide on, but you have to end up with one-third of the year good and two-thirds bad. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. From Adrian Massey’s website. Less 1/2 win 75% Place 87%. Th. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. e. The 1326 staking plan does not go bankrupt on staking 1% of the bank, but when we increase the staking size of the recommended Target Profit and Percentage Staking plans to 5%, their profit levels eclipse the 1326. 80). I have different settings profiles setup in the TSM software, starting with the recommended settings from the book and then test them. Books have been and still are the best source of general information, and this applies at least as much in the art of racehorse selection and staking as in any other field. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. 4 for example. 358 – lay the favourite in certain races if its odds are a certain price, and to a specialist lay staking plan called the Lay 1-4 staking plan. The concept is to place a single bet – let’s say 20 euros – on small odds sure wins close to 1. So I wanted to find out what staking plan was best for. You can start before March 6 if you like of course, but it is the first. The art of clever staking. g. If you were betting in $1 units your first bet, then, would be $2 (50 divided into 100). 3. Arnaud: Receive latest horse racing news, race previews and our hand picked selections. Last Start Staring Price Statistics. JOIN NOW FOR $156/Year. The longest losing run on the day was three bets. a 3 unit bet is bet three times unless a winner is struck and then the progression reverts to the start again). With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. By Alan. Note how I also increased the target_rate to 73% as second favourites are expected to lose more often than the first ones. The plan is to bet 15% of your capital on horses in this price range. So, for example, every. I think he was right. 1/2 to 10/11 win 54% Place 77%. Sports betting can be a risky venture, but it can also be incredibly rewarding. 57 x 20 = 5. Race Distance Change Statistics. Most favourites are false favourites, as evidenced by the fact that only about three out of 10 of them actually win. plans” form, and that it has green color which indicates that you are using individual staking plans. Place bets 1sec or hours before the race starts; Bet filters: Min/max number of runners, Max stake/liability protection, % back/lay ratio, Unsettled bets allowed, Multiple staking plans 1. Overall, it is a strategy that is perfect for some punters. Deposit: $10 NetBet Review. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. p = Percentage chance of winning in decimal form 40% = 0. Using Fixed Liability for High Odds: When laying horses with very high odds, a fixed liability staking plan can ensure losses don't spiral out of control. Average Win Dividend: $2. 5 units may represent a low. The win bet is a rounded dollar rate, 1 per cent of the highest point of the bank, while place bet is the remainder of outlay. Used in conjunction with Gruss Betting Assistant, TBM is compatible with both Betfair and Betdaq Betting Exchange. com Betting Tracker Introduction Page / 1 4 7 14 4 4. Expert tips from our racing analysts. 50. For instance, if you have just backed a 5-2 winner, you advance two steps. The Staking Machine is an invaluable tool for anyone serious about making 50 Favourites System 6 Figure Tipster Ace The Profit Place System The Profit Profits can be sweet with the right moves it s a sensible thing with most progressiveMy Staking Plan: Weight per lengths table : Favourites Nirvana? The Gambling Bank: Corporate Bookmakers: A Theory On Staking: Stop Loss Staking: Target Winning: Risk And reward: System with 67% s/rate? Implied Chances To Odds: Consistent Staking: Gambling Concenration: Winning Runs: Loss Aversion: Making 25% Profit: Punter Vs. THE SAFE INSURANCE PLAN My idea with this plan is to provide you with a staking idea that gives you the chance of good returns, and yet provides a key element of insurance against big losses. Take bet 10 above and you can see that a stake of £35 is required to win just £15 and you have already laid out over £85. . We will use a start bank of £100 and one unit will be £1. Five placings at even money and you get $232 for $26, meaning a percentage profit of 792. 8. Above you saw the excel. M. 50. Multiple Strategies bot is available with V2 version. . 00), your liability is greater than what you stand to win. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. As the race turned out, they ran 1st and 2nd, with Theseo the winner. 14). Your return on the sole winner at 9/2 would be $18, leaving you with a loss of $6 on the day, compared with only $2 using the 6-Point Plan. Six placings in a row (five all-ups) at $1. A video description of the strategy and the spreadsheet is included. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. After a winner, drop back a half unit. This plan is really great when dealing with a good strike rate and the lower dividend (odds) range. The best way to understand the lay 1-4 staking plan is by working through an example. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Th. 2%. This progression staking approach is aimed at races where the favourite is better than $3. Horse Racing Staking Plans. If, however, each favourite averaged out at, say, $1. In most staking plans the backer is required to increase stakes after each loser. Detailed information on Horse racing - Horses, Jockeys, Trainers and tracks – Join over 100,000 punters who use Practical PuntingStaking Plans - Chasing Losing Bets. In the last two parts of this series I have looked at various aspects of staking. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. If we could strike 15 of these 3/1 trebles we would be into a healthy profit situation. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. 3. So the 6-Point Plan loses 8. So, okay, it's no State secret - I use a very, very cautious.